Included are 4 Premium Picks against the spread for Week 5 ( 1 Thursday Night Game, and 3 Weekend games). Premium Picks are 8-4 over the last three weeks. Also a solid pick against the spread for every game for Week 5 is included as well.
The team highlighted in green is the team predicted to cover the Vegas spread listed. The picks and Vegas spreads will generally be locked down Friday at 5PM to get a better gauge on the percentage correct each week. The game picker will be used in tandem with the intangibles to generate green picks each week. Weather will be added within a day or two of gameday for each game.
Premium Picks:
Thursday (September 29th) – Kansas vs Texas Tech
(Vegas Texas Tech -28.5 ) (Game Picker Texas Tech by 18.10 )
Texas Tech comes in with the top ranked pass offense in the nation. Red Raider QB Patrick Mahomes has been pretty effective against some poor pass defenses. The pass offense gets lots of opportunities as Texas Tech has no defense and gets in high scoring shootouts. Kansas should also be able to put up some points on the very poor Texas Tech defense. Kansas actually has a pretty decent pass defense (17th) and should be able to slow down the Texas Tech passing game to cover this spread.
PARTLY CLOUDY, EAST WIND 5-10. GAME TEMP 68, RH 45%
Saturday (October 1st) –Virginia vs Duke
(Vegas Duke -3.5 ) (Game Picker Duke by 8.51 )
Duke is coming into this game with great momentum after taking out Notre Dame last week. There is a serious mismatch with the Duke Pass Offense (24th) vs the Virginia pass defense (109th). Virginia will be looking to move the ball thru the air as well. With the strength of schedule and home field advantage, Duke will be able to cover the somewhat surprising spread.
MOSTLY SUNNY, SOUTHWEST WIND 4-9. GAME TEMP 77, RH 57% HEAT INDEX 79
N Illinois vs Ball St
(Vegas Ball St -4 ) (Game Picker Ball St by 7.11 )
Ball St will have another miss match this week with the rush offense (25th) vs Northern Illinois rush defense (118th). Ball St played on a very slick field last week, but was able to find away thru the air when needed to rally past Florida Atlantic on the road. Northern Illinois suffered a salty loss to FCS Western Illinois and remains winless on the year. Look for Ball St to cover the spread again this week especially if field conditions cooperate.
CLOUDY, 40% CHANCE SHOWER/STORMS EARLY. SOUTH WIND 2-7. GAME TEMP 58, RH 86%
North Carolina vs Florida St
(Vegas Florida St -10.5 ) (Game Picker Florida St by 13.14 )
Florida St found its groove on the road last week against a solid South Florida squad. Dalvin Cook rushed for a career-high 267 yards and two touchdowns Saturday. With that in mind, there is a major mismatch with the Florida St rush offense (10th) versus the North Carolina rush defense (112th). Florida St has had the second toughest schedule in the nation this year with a true freshman QB. Look for Florida St to cover the spread using a running game that will run at will on North Carolina and a improving defense that has seen some of the best offenses in the nation already this season.
MOSTLY SUNNY, NORTH WIND 2-7. GAME TEMP 86, RH 30% HEAT INDEX 84
Solid Picks:
Thursday (September 29th) – Kansas vs Texas Tech
(Vegas Texas Tech -28.5 ) (Game Picker Texas Tech by 18.10 )
PARTLY CLOUDY, EAST WIND 5-10. GAME TEMP 68, RH 45%
Connecticut vs Houston
(Vegas Houston -30 ) (Game Picker Houston by 25.52 )
The current Houston Coach is 17-1 at Houston with UConn as the only loss.
MOSTLY FAIR, NORTH WIND 6-11. GAME TEMP 78, RH 50% HEAT INDEX 79
Friday (September 30th) – Toledo vs BYU
(Vegas BYU -4 ) (Game Picker Toledo by 3.64 )
The only thing suspect about Toledo’s resume is it’s strength of schedule. All other statistical indicators favor Toledo in this game.
FAIR, SOUTHEAST WIND 4-9. GAME TEMP 64, RH 56%
Stanford vs Washington
(Vegas Washington -3.5 ) (Game Picker Stanford by 1.73 )
This is the classic pass versus run team game. Stanford better not fall behind as their offense is not built to come from behind. Stanford should be able to slow the game down by running the ball early and often. Combined with the stout Stanford defense, the game should fall in Stanford’s favor against the spread.
PARTLY CLOUDY, SOUTH WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 59, RH 57%
Saturday (October 1st) – Buffalo vs Boston College
(Vegas Boston College -19 ) (Game Picker Boston College by 15.82 )
CLOUDY, 80% CHANCE LIGHT SHOWERS. NORTHEAST WIND 12-17, GUSTY. GAME TEMP 57, RH 90%
Marshall vs Pittsburgh
(Vegas Pittsburgh -16.5 ) (Game Picker Pittsburgh by 11.48 )
MOSTLY CLOUDY, 30% CHANCE LIGHT SHOWERS EARLY. SOUTH WIND 2-7. GAME TEMP 65, RH 75%
Memphis vs Mississippi
(Vegas Mississippi -15 ) (Game Picker Mississippi by 0.30 )
PARTLY CLOUDY, NORTH WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 71, RH 61% HEAT INDEX 72
Tulane vs UMass
(Vegas Tulane -2 ) (Game Picker Tulane by 7.04 )
CLOUDY, 60% CHANCE LIGHT SHOWERS. NORTHEAST WIND 5-10. GAME TEMP 56, RH 90%
Minnesota vs Penn State
(Vegas Penn State -2.5 ) (Game Picker Penn State by 4.35 )
CLOUDY, 40% CHANCE LIGHT SHOWERS. EAST WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 63, RH 83%
Northwestern vs Iowa
(Vegas Iowa -13.5 ) (Game Picker Iowa by 9.68 )
MOSTLY CLOUDY, 40% CHANCE LIGHT SHOWERS. NORTH WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 64, RH 78%
Rutgers vs Ohio St
(Vegas Ohio St -39 ) (Game Picker Ohio St by 32.12 )
MOSTLY CLOUDY, 30% CHANCE LIGHT SHOWERS. SOUTH WIND 5-10. GAME TEMP 65, RH 75%
Kansas St vs West Virginia
(Vegas West Virginia -3.5 ) (Game Picker Kansas St by 4.99 )
CLOUDY, 40% CHANCE LIGHT SHOWERS. NORTHEAST WIND 5-10. GAME TEMP 66, RH 84%
Virginia vs Duke
(Vegas Duke -3.5 ) (Game Picker Duke by 8.51 )
MOSTLY SUNNY, SOUTHWEST WIND 4-9. GAME TEMP 77, RH 57% HEAT INDEX 79
Notre Dame vs Syracuse
(Vegas Notre Dame -10 ) (Game Picker Notre Dame by 9.41 )
CLOUDY, 40% CHANCE LIGHT SHOWERS EARLY. NORTHEAST WIND 5-10. GAME TEMP 63, RH 90%
This line has dropped low enough to take Notre Dame in this one.
South Florida vs Cincinnati
(Vegas South Florida -4 ) (Game Picker South Florida by 6.49 )
CLOUDY, 30% CHANCE SHOWER/STORMS EARLY. SOUTH WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 60, RH 83%
SMU vs Temple
(Vegas Temple -13.5 ) (Game Picker Temple by 8.68 )
CLOUDY, 40% CHANCE LIGHT SHOWERS EARLY. EAST WIND 8-13. GAME TEMP 69, RH 87%
Old Dominion vs Charlotte
(Vegas Old Dominion -10 ) (Game Picker Old Dominion by 7.83 )
FAIR, SOUTH WIND 2-7. GAME TEMP 77, RH 44% HEAT INDEX 78
Middle Tenn St vs North Texas
(Vegas Middle Tenn St -14 ) (Game Picker Middle Tenn St by 13.59 )
FAIR, SOUTHEAST WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 79, RH 37% HEAT INDEX 79
UTEP vs La Tech
(Vegas La Tech -19 ) (Game Picker La Tech by 18.43 )
Another line that has dropped low enough to swing in the home teams favor. LA Tech QB Ryan Higgins is a go as well.
FAIR, SOUTH WIND 2-7. GAME TEMP 75, RH 55% HEAT INDEX 78
Florida Atlantic vs Florida Intl
(Vegas Florida Atlantic -6.5 ) (Game Picker Florida Atlantic by 1.45 )
PARTLY CLOUDY, EAST WIND 5-10. GAME TEMP 84, RH 71% HEAT INDEX 91
W Michigan vs C Michigan
(Vegas W Michigan -3 ) (Game Picker W Michigan by 4.19 )
CLOUDY, 40% CHANCE LIGHT SHOWERS. NORTHEAST WIND 5-10. GAME TEMP 61, RH 86%
N Illinois vs Ball St
(Vegas Ball St -4 ) (Game Picker Ball St by 7.11 )
CLOUDY, 40% CHANCE SHOWER/STORMS EARLY. SOUTH WIND 2-7. GAME TEMP 58, RH 86%
E Michigan vs Bowling Green
(Vegas Bowling Green -3.5 ) (Game Picker E Michigan by 11.95 )
Head scratcher Vegas line. Statistically E Michigan should take this game by 10 points or more.
40% CHANCE LIGHT SHOWERS. SOUTHEAST WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 64, RH 75%
Ohio vs Miami OH
(Vegas Ohio -2 ) (Game Picker Ohio by 4.87 )
CLOUDY, 40% CHANCE SHOWER/STORMS. SOUTH WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 62, RH 83%
Central FL vs East Carolina
(Vegas East Carolina -5.5 ) (Game Picker East Carolina by 0.44 )
MOSTLY CLOUDY, SOUTH WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 79, RH 69% HEAT INDEX 82
Akron vs Kent St
(Vegas Akron -4.5 ) (Game Picker Akron by 5.75 )
CLOUDY, 30% CHANCE SHOWER/STORMS. SOUTH WIND 4-9. GAME TEMP 68, RH 70%
Purdue vs Maryland
(Vegas Maryland -10 ) (Game Picker Maryland by 9.99 )
MOSTLY CLOUDY, 30% CHANCE SHOWER/STORMS EARLY. SOUTH WIND 5-10. GAME TEMP 79, RH 69% HEAT INDEX 82
Miami FL vs GA Tech
(Vegas Miami FL -6 ) (Game Picker Miami FL by 8.69 )
MOSTLY SUNNY, SOUTHWEST WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 74, RH 53% HEAT INDEX 76
Illinois vs Nebraska
(Vegas Nebraska -20 ) (Game Picker Nebraska by 21.1 )
PARTLY CLOUDY, EAST WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 71, RH 52% HEAT INDEX 71
Wisconsin vs Michigan
(Vegas Michigan -10 ) (Game Picker Michigan by 10.35 )
CLOUDY, 40% CHANCE LIGHT SHOWERS. SOUTHEAST WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 64, RH 84%
Louisville vs Clemson
(Vegas Clemson -2 ) (Game Picker Louisville by 3.35 )
FAIR, NORTHWEST WIND 2-7. GAME TEMP 68, RH 63% HEAT INDEX 70
North Carolina vs Florida St
(Vegas Florida St -10 ) (Game Picker Florida St by 13.14 )
MOSTLY SUNNY, NORTH WIND 2-7. GAME TEMP 86, RH 30% HEAT INDEX 84
La Monroe vs Auburn
(Vegas Auburn -33.5 ) (Game Picker Auburn by 25.53 )
MOSTLY SUNNY, WEST WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 83, RH 35% HEAT INDEX 82
Navy vs Air Force
(Vegas Air Force -7.5 ) (Game Picker Air Force by 3.74 )
PARTLY CLOUDY, SOUTHEAST WIND 5-10. GAME TEMP 72, RH 35% HEAT INDEX 71
Rice vs Southern Miss
(Vegas Southern Miss -25 ) (Game Picker Southern Miss by 19.85 )
FAIR, NORTH WIND 2-7. GAME TEMP 73, RH 63% HEAT INDEX 76
Wyoming vs Colorado St
(Vegas Colorado St -7 ) (Game Picker Colorado St by 3.19 )
FAIR, SOUTHWEST WIND 5-10. GAME TEMP 60, RH 49%
Kentucky vs Alabama
(Vegas Alabama -36 ) (Game Picker Alabama by 33.97 )
FAIR, NORTHWEST WIND 2-7. GAME TEMP 73, RH 59% HEAT INDEX 75
Tennessee vs Georgia
(Vegas Tennessee -3 ) (Game Picker Tennessee by 5.13 )
MOSTLY SUNNY, WEST WIND 2-7. GAME TEMP 79, RH 41% HEAT INDEX 79
Georgia St vs Appalachian St
(Vegas Appalachian St -21 ) (Game Picker Appalachian St by 14.92 )
MOSTLY SUNNY, SOUTHWEST WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 63, RH 51%
Florida vs Vanderbilt
(Vegas Florida -9 ) (Game Picker Florida by 11.16 )
MOSTLY CLOUDY, SOUTHWEST WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 68, RH 67%
Utah vs California
(Vegas California -2 ) (Game Picker Utah by 0.61 )
PARTLY CLOUDY, WEST WIND 10-20. GAME TEMP 67, RH 60%
Texas vs Oklahoma St
(Vegas Oklahoma St -3 ) (Game Picker Oklahoma St by 1.49 )
PARTLY CLOUDY, WEST WIND 10-20. GAME TEMP 67, RH 60%
Oregon St vs Colorado
(Vegas Colorado -19.5 ) (Game Picker Colorado by 14.64 )
PARTLY CLOUDY, WEST WIND 10-20. GAME TEMP 67, RH 60%
Wake Forest vs NC State
(Vegas NC State -12.5 ) (Game Picker NC State by 8.21 )
PARTLY CLOUDY, 20% CHANCE SHOWER/STORMS. SOUTHWEST WIND 4-9. GAME TEMP 81, RH 54% HEAT INDEX 83 (SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON.)
Texas AM vs South Carolina
(Vegas Texas AM -18 ) (Game Picker Texas AM by 14.02 )
MOSTLY SUNNY, SOUTHEAST WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 83, RH 42% HEAT INDEX 83
Arizona vs UCLA
(Vegas UCLA -14 ) (Game Picker UCLA by 8.54 )
FAIR, WEST WIND 6-11. GAME TEMP 68, RH 67%
Arizona St vs Southern Cal
(Vegas Southern Cal -10 ) (Game Picker Southern Cal by 5.25 )
FAIR, WEST WIND 8-13. GAME TEMP 70, RH 63% HEAT INDEX 71
Baylor vs Iowa St
(Vegas Baylor -16 ) (Game Picker Baylor by 16.36 )
CLOUDY, 20% CHANCE LIGHT SHOWERS. NORTH WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 61, RH 77%
Michigan St vs Indiana
(Vegas Michigan St -7.5 ) (Game Picker Michigan St by 0.05 )
MOSTLY CLOUDY, 20% CHANCE LIGHT SHOWERS EARLY. SOUTHWEST WIND 2-7. GAME TEMP 57, RH 93%
Oklahoma vs TCU
(Vegas Oklahoma -2 ) (Game Picker Oklahoma by 2.3 )
FAIR, SOUTHEAST WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 79, RH 40% HEAT INDEX 79
Missouri vs LSU
(Vegas LSU -13.5 ) (Game Picker LSU by 1.41 )
FAIR, SOUTHEAST WIND 0-5. GAME TEMP 75, RH 63% HEAT INDEX 78
San Diego St vs South Alabama
(Vegas San Diego St -20 ) (Game Picker San Diego St by 11.14 )
FAIR, NORTHWEST WIND 2-7. GAME TEMP 72, RH 63% HEAT INDEX 74
La Lafayette vs New Mexico St
(Vegas La Lafayette -4.5 ) (Game Picker La Lafayette by 6.09 )
FAIR, WEST WIND 4-9. GAME TEMP 85, RH 22% HEAT INDEX 82
Troy vs Idaho
(Vegas Troy -13 ) (Game Picker Troy by 20.55 )
Dome
San Jose St vs New Mexico
(Vegas New Mexico -6.5 ) (Game Picker New Mexico by 9.21 )
MOSTLY SUNNY, WEST WIND 5-10. GAME TEMP 78, RH 27% HEAT INDEX 76
Utah St vs Boise St
(Vegas Boise St -21.5 ) (Game Picker Boise St by 14.06 )
PARTLY CLOUDY, NORTH WIND 7-12. GAME TEMP 59, RH 26%
Oregon vs Washington St
(Vegas Oregon -2.5 ) (Game Picker Washington St by 1.52 )
PARTLY CLOUDY, 30% CHANCE LIGHT SHOWERS. WEST WIND 9-14. GAME TEMP 50, RH 66%
Fresno St vs UNLV
(Vegas UNLV -10.5 ) (Game Picker UNLV by 4.58 )
CLEAR, SOUTH WIND 12-17, GUSTY. GAME TEMP 80, RH 16%
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