2016 College Football Week 4 Predictions and Premium Picks

The premium picks went 3-1 against the spread again this past week. The picks for every game last week went 30 -22 -3 against the spread.


The team highlighted in green is the team predicted to cover the Vegas spread listed. The picks and Vegas spreads will generally be locked down Friday at 5PM to get a better gauge on the percentage correct each week. The game picker will be used in tandem with the intangibles to generate green picks each week. Weather will be added within a day or two of gameday for each game.

Premium Picks: 

Thursday (September 22nd) – Clemson vs GA Tech

(Vegas   Clemson -10.5 )      (Game Picker  Clemson by 6.33  )

GA Tech QB Justin Thomas is a dual threat option that will keep the beefy Clemson defensive line running. Clemson has struggled early this season against Auburn and Troy while breaking in a lot of new faces on defense. The crowd will be crazy for GA Tech as they will get a prime time game against Clemson on Thursday night. GA Tech will be able to keep this one close using a stingy defense and a balanced offense. Take GA Tech to cover the spread.

PARTLY CLOUDY, NORTHEAST WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 81, RH 62% HEAT INDEX 84


Saturday (September 24th) Ball St vs Florida Atlantic

(Vegas   Ball St -3 )      (Game Picker  Ball St by 14.76  )

Another head scratcher line by Vegas as Ball St comes in with a great running game (23) against a horrible Florida Atlantic rush defense (124). Ball St also has a veteran defense (9 starters returning) that has held its own so far this year. Against the spread, Ball St has average +12 so far this season. This should be an easy cover for Ball St.

MOSTLY CLOUDY, 30% CHANCE SHOWER/STORMS EARLY. SOUTHEAST WIND 4-9. GAME TEMP 84, RH 69% HEAT INDEX 91


Army vs Buffalo

(Vegas   Army -14 )      (Game Picker  Army by 27.88  )

Army is one of the most improved teams in the nation this year. With 16 starters ( 7 offense, and 9 defense), Army has started the season hot. There is a tremendous mismatch with the Army rush offense (2nd in thee nation) vs the Buffalo rush defense (128!). Army should be able to run at will in this game. Buffalo’s bread and butter is it’s running game. Unfortunately, Army ranks 15th in the nation against the run. Buffalo has virtually no pass offense. Army will load the box all game and should be able to easily cover the spread.

FAIR, NORTHEAST WIND 4-9. GAME TEMP 62, RH 55%


Southern Miss vs UTEP

(Vegas   Southern Miss -9.5 )      (Game Picker  Southern Miss by 18.67  )

Every thing points to a runaway for Southern Miss in this game. Southern Miss has a pretty significant mismatch with it’s rush offense (26) vs the UTEP rush defense (106). UTEP has been really poor against the spread averaging -15, showing very little fight when getting behind. The Southern Miss defense, although somewhat average, should be able to contain the run based UTEP offense. Look for Southern Miss to cover the spread in this one.

FAIR, WEST WIND 9-14. GAME TEMP 83, RH 23% HEAT INDEX 80


Solid Picks: 

Thursday (September 22nd) – Clemson vs GA Tech

(Vegas   Clemson -10.5 )      (Game Picker  Clemson by 6.33  )

PARTLY CLOUDY, NORTHEAST WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 81, RH 62% HEAT INDEX 84


Friday  (September 23rd) – TCU vs SMU

(Vegas   TCU -22 )      (Game Picker  TCU by 9.90  )

FAIR, SOUTHEAST WIND 7-12. GAME TEMP 89, RH 49% HEAT INDEX 94


Wyoming vs E Michigan

(Vegas   Wyoming -2.5 )      (Game Picker  Wyoming by 4.15  )

MOSTLY CLOUDY, 20% CHANCE SHOWER/STORMS. NORTH WIND 5-10. GAME TEMP 77, RH 61% HEAT INDEX 79


Southern Cal vs Utah

(Vegas   Utah -3 )      (Game Picker  USC by 0.68  )

CLOUDY, 60% CHANCE LIGHT SHOWERS. SOUTHWEST WIND 7-12. GAME TEMP 49, RH 86%


Saturday  (September 24th) – C Michigan vs Virginia

(Vegas   C Michigan -3 )      (Game Picker  C Michigan by 12.88  )

MOSTLY SUNNY, NORTHEAST WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 74, RH 68% HEAT INDEX 77


Ball St vs Florida Atlantic

(Vegas   Ball St -3 )      (Game Picker  Ball St by 14.76  )

MOSTLY CLOUDY, 30% CHANCE SHOWER/STORMS EARLY. SOUTHEAST WIND 4-9. GAME TEMP 84, RH 69% HEAT INDEX 91


Central Florida vs Florida International

(Vegas   Central Florida -3 )      (Game Picker  Central Florida by 13.83  )

MOSTLY CLOUDY, 20% CHANCE SHOWER/STORMS EARLY. EAST WIND 7-12. GAME TEMP 83, RH 74% HEAT INDEX 90


Army vs Buffalo

(Vegas   Army -14 )      (Game Picker  Army by 27.88  )

FAIR, NORTHEAST WIND 4-9. GAME TEMP 62, RH 55%


East Carolina vs VA Tech

(Vegas   VA Tech -11 )      (Game Picker  VA Tech by 12.23  )

PARTLY CLOUDY, EAST WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 80, RH 54% HEAT INDEX 82


Syracuse vs UConn

(Vegas   UConn -5 )      (Game Picker  Syracuse by 0.87  )

MOSTLY SUNNY, NORTH WIND 4-9. GAME TEMP 67, RH 45%


Penn St vs Michigan

(Vegas   Michigan -19 )      (Game Picker  Michigan by 17.23  )

PARTLY CLOUDY, SOUTHEAST WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 73, RH 63% HEAT INDEX 76


Iowa vs Rutgers

(Vegas   Iowa -15 )      (Game Picker  Iowa by 7.28  )

MOSTLY SUNNY, NORTHWEST WIND 5-10. GAME TEMP 69, RH 48%


Wake Forest vs Indiana

(Vegas   Indiana -7.5 )      (Game Picker  Indiana by 4.02  )

MOSTLY SUNNY, SOUTH WIND 2-7. GAME TEMP 84, RH 54% HEAT INDEX 87


San Jose St vs Iowa St

(Vegas   Iowa St -7 )      (Game Picker  Iowa St by 1.09  )

20% CHANCE SHOWER/STORMS LATE. SOUTH WIND 9-14. GAME TEMP 77, RH 68% HEAT INDEX 80


Mississippi St vs UMass

(Vegas   Mississippi St -23 )      (Game Picker  Mississippi St by 17.57  )

MOSTLY SUNNY, NORTH WIND 6-11. GAME TEMP 70, RH 39%


Colorado St vs Minnesota

(Vegas   Minnesota -17 )      (Game Picker  Minnesota by 12.32  )

MOSTLY CLOUDY, SOUTHEAST WIND 9-14. GAME TEMP 68, RH 90%


BYU vs West Virginia

(Vegas   West Virginia -7 )      (Game Picker  West Virginia by 0.92  )

MOSTLY SUNNY, NORTH WIND 4-9. GAME TEMP 77, RH 53% HEAT INDEX 79


North Texas vs Rice

(Vegas   Rice -7 )      (Game Picker  Rice by 9.78  )

MOSTLY CLOUDY, 30% CHANCE SHOWER/STORMS EARLY. SOUTHEAST WIND 5-10. GAME TEMP 84, RH 71% HEAT INDEX 91


Appalachian St vs Akron

(Vegas   Appalachian St -5.5 )      (Game Picker  Appalachian St by 7.37  )

PARTLY CLOUDY, NORTHEAST WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 74, RH 61% HEAT INDEX 77


GA Southern vs W Michigan

(Vegas   W Michigan -7 )      (Game Picker  W Michigan by 10.70  )

MOSTLY CLOUDY, 20% CHANCE SHOWER/STORMS EARLY. SOUTHEAST WIND 2-7. GAME TEMP 66, RH 93%


Charlotte vs Temple

(Vegas   Temple -27.5 )      (Game Picker  Temple by 22.76  )

PARTLY CLOUDY, NORTH WIND 5-10. GAME TEMP 69, RH 54%


Pittsburgh vs North Carolina

(Vegas   North Carolina -7.5 )      (Game Picker  North Carolina by 4.97  )

MOSTLY SUNNY, NORTHEAST WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 84, RH 54% HEAT INDEX 87


Southern Miss vs UTEP

(Vegas   Southern Miss -9.5 )      (Game Picker  Southern Miss by 18.67  )

FAIR, WEST WIND 9-14. GAME TEMP 83, RH 23% HEAT INDEX 80


Oklahoma St vs Baylor

(Vegas   Baylor -7.5 )      (Game Picker  Baylor by 10.25  )

MOSTLY CLOUDY, 20% CHANCE SHOWER/STORMS. SOUTH WIND 6-11. GAME TEMP 84, RH 64% HEAT INDEX 89


Louisville vs Marshall

(Vegas   Louisville -25 )      (Game Picker  Louisville by 31.39  )

FAIR, NORTHEAST WIND 2-7. GAME TEMP 77, RH 68% HEAT INDEX 80


Kent St vs Alabama

(Vegas   Alabama -44 )      (Game Picker  Alabama by  39.58 )

MOSTLY SUNNY, NORTH WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 88, RH 47% HEAT INDEX 91


Duke vs Notre Dame

(Vegas   Notre Dame -21 )      (Game Picker  Notre Dame by 12.60  )

MOSTLY CLOUDY, EAST WIND 4-9. GAME TEMP 77, RH 71% HEAT INDEX 80


New Mexico St vs Troy

(Vegas   Troy -21 )      (Game Picker  Troy by 13.71  )

FAIR, NORTHEAST WIND 2-7. GAME TEMP 84, RH 56% HEAT INDEX 87


Vanderbilt vs W Kentucky

(Vegas   W Kentucky -7 )      (Game Picker  W Kentucky by 7.03  )

MOSTLY SUNNY, NORTH WIND 2-7. GAME TEMP 85, RH 52% HEAT INDEX 88


Wisconsin vs Michigan St

(Vegas   Michigan St -6 )      (Game Picker  Wisconsin  by 0.98  )

MOSTLY CLOUDY, 30% CHANCE SHOWER/STORMS. EAST WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 62, RH 93%


Arkansas vs Texas AM

(Vegas   Texas AM -5.5 )      (Game Picker  Texas AM by 10.21  )

MOSTLY CLOUDY, SOUTH WIND 8-13. GAME TEMP 82, RH 69% HEAT INDEX 87 (A T and T STADIUM ROOF MAY CLOSE IN HOT WEATHER)


Nevada vs Purdue

(Vegas   Purdue -6 )      (Game Picker  Nevada by 2.18  )

MOSTLY SUNNY, SOUTH WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 79, RH 66% HEAT INDEX 82


La Lafayette vs Tulane

(Vegas   Tulane -4.5 )      (Game Picker  Tulane by 9.46  )

PARTLY CLOUDY, SOUTH WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 84, RH 62% HEAT INDEX 89


Colorado vs Oregon

(Vegas   Oregon -11 )      (Game Picker  Oregon by 2.52  )

PARTLY CLOUDY, NORTHEAST WIND 9-14. GAME TEMP 71, RH 43%


Washington vs Arizona

(Vegas   Washington -9.5 )      (Game Picker  Washington by 10.86  )

FAIR, WEST WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 81, RH 14%


Georgia vs Mississippi

(Vegas   Mississippi -7.5 )      (Game Picker  Mississippi by 4.43  )

MOSTLY SUNNY, EAST WIND 2-7. GAME TEMP 87, RH 47% HEAT INDEX 90


Miami OH vs Cincinnati

(Vegas   Cincinnati -18.5 )      (Game Picker  Cincinnati by 11.97  )

PARTLY CLOUDY, SOUTHEAST WIND 2-7. GAME TEMP 85, RH 54% HEAT INDEX 88


La Tech vs Middle Tenn St

(Vegas   Middle Tenn St -5 )      (Game Picker  Middle Tenn St by 3.95  )

Middle Tn St  Pass Offense (14) vs La Tech Pass Defense (114) is a big mismatch.

PARTLY CLOUDY, NORTHEAST WIND 2-7. GAME TEMP 86, RH 47% HEAT INDEX 88


TX-San Antonio vs Old Dominion

(Vegas   Old Dominion  -3.5)      (Game Picker  Old Dominion by 3.61  )

MOSTLY CLOUDY, NORTHEAST WIND 6-11. GAME TEMP 78, RH 68% HEAT INDEX 81


South Carolina vs Kentucky

(Vegas   Kentucky -2.5 )      (Game Picker  South Carolina by 9.93  )

FAIR, NORTHEAST WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 83, RH 54% HEAT INDEX 85


Florida vs Tennessee

(Vegas   Tennessee -5 )      (Game Picker  Tennessee by 6.42  )

FLO-QB-Austin Appleby-Probable | FLO-WR-Antonio Callaway-Probable | FLO-QB-Luke Del Rio-OUT | TV: CBS | MOSTLY SUNNY, NORTHEAST WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 90, RH 39% HEAT INDEX 92


Bowling Green vs Memphis

(Vegas   Memphis -16 )      (Game Picker  Memphis by 19.63  )

FAIR, SOUTH WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 85, RH 52% HEAT INDEX 88


Florida St vs South Florida

(Vegas   Florida St -7 )      (Game Picker  South Florida by 1.71  )

PARTLY CLOUDY, WEST WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 85, RH 65% HEAT INDEX 91


Nebraska vs Northwestern

(Vegas   Nebraska -7 )      (Game Picker  Nebraska by 11.69  )

PARTLY CLOUDY, EAST WIND 4-9. GAME TEMP 71, RH 87% HEAT INDEX 74


Houston vs Texas St

(Vegas   Houston  -35 )      (Game Picker  Houston  by 25.87  )

MOSTLY CLOUDY, SOUTHEAST WIND 6-11. GAME TEMP 85, RH 62% HEAT INDEX 91


LSU vs Auburn

(Vegas   LSU -3.5 )      (Game Picker  Auburn by 3.74  )

FAIR, EAST WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 86, RH 51% HEAT INDEX 89


Boise St vs Oregon St

(Vegas   Boise St -14 )      (Game Picker  Boise St by 6.17  )

PARTLY CLOUDY, NORTHEAST WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 74, RH 38% HEAT INDEX 74


Air Force vs Utah St

(Vegas   Air Force -4.5 )      (Game Picker  Air Force by 1.33  )

FAIR, WEST WIND 2-7. GAME TEMP 50, RH 71%


Idaho vs UNLV

(Vegas   UNLV -14 )      (Game Picker  UNLV by 17.07  )

CLEAR, SOUTHWEST WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 83, RH 12%


California vs Arizona St

(Vegas   Arizona St -4 )      (Game Picker  California by 0.33  )

CLEAR, SOUTHWEST WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 85, RH 14%


Stanford vs UCLA

(Vegas   Stanford  -3.5 )      (Game Picker  Stanford by 0.46  )

FAIR, WEST WIND 8-13. GAME TEMP 79, RH 38% HEAT INDEX 79


Tulsa vs Fresno St

(Vegas   Tulsa -14.5 )      (Game Picker  Tulsa by 14.86  )

CLEAR, WEST WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 86, RH 26% HEAT INDEX 83



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