2016 College Football Week 3 Predictions and Premium Picks
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The team highlighted in green is the team predicted to cover the Vegas spread listed. The picks and Vegas spreads will generally be locked down Friday at 5PM to get a better gauge on the percentage correct each week. The game picker will be used in tandem with the intangibles to generate green picks each week. Weather will be added within a day or two of gameday for each game.
Premium Picks:
The Premium Picks went 3-1 last week. With more statistics coming in each week, these picks will be more and more dialed in.
Thursday (September 15th) – Houston vs Cincinnati
(Vegas Houston -7 ) (Game Picker Houston by 10.75 )
MOSTLY FAIR, NORTHEAST WIND 2-7. GAME TEMP 72, RH 61% HEAT INDEX 74
HOU-QB-Greg Ward Jr.-Probable | HOU-RB-Duke Catalon-Probable
Houston starters basically got a week off as Houston played Lamar in a one sided affair. The tandem of Greg Ward and Duke Catalon should be ready to go Thursday . Cincinnati on the other hand had to hold off a tremendous comeback against an average Purdue team on the road. Cincinnati’s QB Hayden Moore may be able to stretch the Houston pass defense, behind an experienced offensive line. But in the end, Houston will pull away with a balanced offensive attack.
Saturday (September 17th) – Middle Tenn St vs Bowling Green
(Vegas Middle Tenn St -5.5 ) (Game Picker Middle Tenn St by 21.60 )
This is one of those Vegas lines that is a head scratcher. Middle Tenn St QB Brent Stockstill put up 399 yards passing and 3 TDs against a good Vanderbilt defense last week. There is a huge mismatch in Bowling Green’s pass defense (122 out of 128) versus the Middle Tenn St pass offense (8th out of 128). Middle Tenn St has a pretty decent pass defense and a very average rush defense. Unfortunately for Bowling Green, the rush offense for the Cardinal is only ranked 109 out of 128. On paper this should be a very easy cover for Middle Tenn St.
Vanderbilt vs GA Tech
(Vegas GA Tech -7 ) (Game Picker Vanderbilt by 1.26 )
This is another matchup where looking at the strengths and weaknesses of each team can tell you the story of the tape. Vanderbilt’s Ralph Webb had a coming out party last week running for 211 yards and two touchdowns. Nobody ever questioned Vandy’s defense (especially the run defense ) as they have some of the best linebackers in the nation. But now they have found a run offense. GA Tech is terrible passing the ball and will run the ball a good percentage of the time. This is where GA Tech will play into Vanderbilt’s hands as they will find it very difficult to run on the Commodores. I look for the Dores to win this one straight up.
South Florida vs Syracuse
(Vegas South Florida -13.5 ) (Game Picker South Florida by 17.57 )
Make no mistake, South Florida is solid experienced team that is playing some great football. There is a serious mismatch with the South Florida offense (rushing O 11th/128 and passing O 13th/128) vs the Syracuse defense (rushing D 128th/128 , passing D 125th/128). South Florida also brings in a tough defense that has not given up a lot of ground at all. Syracuse’s bread and butter is its passing game, ranked 27th out of 128 in the nation. Unfortunately for the Orange, South Florida defensive backfield is the strength of it’s defense (31st out of 128). South Florida should be able to cover this spread with ease.
Solid Picks:
Thursday (September 15th) – Houston vs Cincinnati
(Vegas Houston -7 ) (Game Picker Houston by 10.75 )
MOSTLY FAIR, NORTHEAST WIND 2-7. GAME TEMP 72, RH 61% HEAT INDEX 74
HOU-QB-Greg Ward Jr.-Probable | HOU-RB-Duke Catalon-Probable
Friday (September 16th) – Baylor vs Rice
(Vegas Baylor -32.5 ) (Game Picker Baylor by 20.59 )
MOSTLY CLOUDY, 20% CHANCE SHOWER/STORMS EARLY. SOUTHEAST WIND 4-9. GAME TEMP 84, RH 71% HEAT INDEX 91
Arizona St vs TX-San Antonio
(Vegas Arizona St -19.5 ) (Game Picker Arizona St by 22.7 )
Dome
Arkansas St vs Utah St
(Vegas Utah St -8.5 ) (Game Picker Utah St by 10.28 )
FAIR, NORTHWEST WIND 2-7. GAME TEMP 65, RH 38%
Saturday (September 17th) – E Michigan vs Charlotte
(Vegas E Michigan -2 ) (Game Picker E Michigan by 8.13 )
MOSTLY CLOUDY, NORTHEAST WIND 5-10. GAME TEMP 78, RH 66% HEAT INDEX 81
W Michigan vs Illinois
(Vegas W Michigan -3 ) (Game Picker W Michigan by 7.22 )
MOSTLY CLOUDY, 40% CHANCE SHOWER/STORMS. SOUTHWEST WIND 4-9. GAME TEMP 79, RH 71% HEAT INDEX 82
East Carolina vs South Carolina
(Vegas South Carolina -2.5 ) (Game Picker South Carolina by 6.39 )
PARTLY CLOUDY, NORTHEAST WIND 5-10. GAME TEMP 84, RH 58% HEAT INDEX 88
Florida St vs Louisville
(Vegas Florida St -3 ) (Game Picker Louisville by 4.95 )
MOSTLY CLOUDY, 40% CHANCE SHOWER/STORMS. SOUTH WIND 7-12. GAME TEMP 78, RH 73% HEAT INDEX 81
Temple vs Penn St
(Vegas Penn St -7.5 ) (Game Picker Penn St by 11.29 )
MOSTLY CLOUDY, 40% CHANCE SHOWER/STORMS. SOUTH WIND 4-9. GAME TEMP 70, RH 70% HEAT INDEX 71
Maryland vs Central Florida
(Vegas Maryland -10 ) (Game Picker Maryland by 3.45 )
MOSTLY CLOUDY, 30% CHANCE SHOWER/STORMS. NORTHEAST WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 83, RH 74% HEAT INDEX 90
Virginia vs UConn
(Vegas UConn -3 ) (Game Picker UConn by 6.61 )
MOSTLY CLOUDY, SOUTH WIND 7-12. GAME TEMP 71, RH 63% HEAT INDEX 72
Iowa St vs TCU
(Vegas TCU -26 ) (Game Picker TCU by 18.75 )
MOSTLY CLOUDY, 20% CHANCE SHOWER/STORMS. EAST WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 87, RH 58% HEAT INDEX 93
Colorado vs Michigan
(Vegas Michigan -20.5 ) (Game Picker Michigan by 13.19 )
MOSTLY CLOUDY, 40% CHANCE SHOWER/STORMS. SOUTHWEST WIND 6-11. GAME TEMP 77, RH 73% HEAT INDEX 80
New Mexico vs Rutgers
(Vegas Rutgers -5 ) (Game Picker Rutgers by 7.63 )
PARTLY SUNNY, SOUTHEAST WIND 5-10. GAME TEMP 75, RH 59% HEAT INDEX 78
Middle Tenn St vs Bowling Green
(Vegas Middle Tenn St -5.5 ) (Game Picker Middle Tenn St by 21.60 )
MOSTLY CLOUDY, SOUTHWEST WIND 5-10. GAME TEMP 74, RH 73% HEAT INDEX 77
Florida Intl vs UMass
(Vegas Florida Intl -1 ) (Game Picker UMass by 3.22 )
MOSTLY CLOUDY, SOUTH WIND 6-11. GAME TEMP 77, RH 57% HEAT INDEX 79
Georgia St vs Wisconsin
(Vegas Wisconsin -33.5 ) (Game Picker Wisconsin by 34.53 )
PARTLY CLOUDY, WEST WIND 4-9. GAME TEMP 70, RH 73% HEAT INDEX 71
UNLV vs Central Mich
(Vegas Central Mich -11.5 ) (Game Picker Central Mich by 18.04 )
MOSTLY CLOUDY, 30% CHANCE LIGHT SHOWERS EARLY. SOUTHWEST WIND 6-11. GAME TEMP 76, RH 71% HEAT INDEX 79
Vanderbilt vs GA Tech
(Vegas GA Tech -7 ) (Game Picker Vanderbilt by 1.26 )
PARTLY CLOUDY, EAST WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 81, RH 58% HEAT INDEX 83
Army vs UTEP
(Vegas Army -3.5 ) (Game Picker Army by 15.08 )
PARTLY CLOUDY, WEST WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 90, RH 19% HEAT INDEX 86
Florida Atlantic vs Kansas St
(Vegas Kansas St -21.5 ) (Game Picker Kansas St by 24.52 )
MOSTLY SUNNY, NORTHEAST WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 73, RH 66% HEAT INDEX 76
Fresno St vs Toledo
(Vegas Toledo -22 ) (Game Picker Toledo by 18.03 )
MOSTLY CLOUDY, SOUTHWEST WIND 5-10. GAME TEMP 79, RH 62% HEAT INDEX 81
Boston College vs Virginia Tech
(Vegas Virginia Tech -6.5 ) (Game Picker Boston College by 4.33 )
PARTLY CLOUDY, SOUTHEAST WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 80, RH 58% HEAT INDEX 82
South Florida vs Syracuse
(Vegas South Florida -13.5 ) (Game Picker South Florida by 17.57 )
Dome
San Diego St vs Northern Illinois
(Vegas San Diego St -10.5 ) (Game Picker San Diego St by 5.03 )
PARTLY SUNNY, WEST WIND 4-9. GAME TEMP 75, RH 78% HEAT INDEX 78
Northern Illinois QB Drew Hare is out. This will swing the point spread to San Diego St’s favor.
W Kentucky vs Miami OH
(Vegas W Kentucky -17 ) (Game Picker W Kentucky by 18.39 )
MOSTLY CLOUDY, 40% CHANCE SHOWER/STORMS. SOUTHWEST WIND 5-10. GAME TEMP 74, RH 84% HEAT INDEX 78
North Texas vs Florida
(Vegas Florida -37 ) (Game Picker Florida by 31.84 )
PARTLY CLOUDY, NORTH WIND 2-7. GAME TEMP 83, RH 67% HEAT INDEX 88
La Tech vs Texas Tech
(Vegas Texas Tech -12 ) (Game Picker Texas Tech by 8.63 )
MOSTLY CLOUDY, 20% CHANCE SHOWER/STORMS. SOUTH WIND 9-14. GAME TEMP 81, RH 56% HEAT INDEX 83
New Mexico St vs Kentucky
(Vegas Kentucky -22.5 ) (Game Picker Kentucky by 9.26 )
MOSTLY CLOUDY, 30% CHANCE SHOWER/STORMS. SOUTHWEST WIND 7-12. GAME TEMP 80, RH 69% HEAT INDEX 84
Texas St vs Arkansas
(Vegas Arkansas -32 ) (Game Picker Arkansas by 16.68 )
MOSTLY CLOUDY, WEST WIND 2-7. GAME TEMP 76, RH 79% HEAT INDEX 79
Ohio vs Tennessee
(Vegas Tennessee -28 ) (Game Picker Tennessee by 20.42 )
PARTLY CLOUDY, WEST WIND 2-7. GAME TEMP 81, RH 60% HEAT INDEX 84
Akron vs Marshall
(Vegas Marshall -16.5 ) (Game Picker Marshall by 24.48 )
PARTLY CLOUDY, SOUTHWEST WIND 4-9. GAME TEMP 75, RH 81% HEAT INDEX 79
Oregon vs Nebraska
(Vegas Nebraska -3 ) (Game Picker Nebraska by 9.38 )
MOSTLY SUNNY, NORTH WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 76, RH 48% HEAT INDEX 77
UCLA vs BYU
(Vegas UCLA -2.5 ) (Game Picker UCLA by 3.65 )
CLEAR, SOUTHWEST WIND 2-7. GAME TEMP 68, RH 30%
Miami FL vs Appalachian St
(Vegas Miami FL -4 ) (Game Picker Appalachian St by 0.34 )
PARTLY CLOUDY, SOUTHWEST WIND 2-7. GAME TEMP 70, RH 73% HEAT INDEX 71
Pittsburg vs Oklahoma St
(Vegas Oklahoma St -3.5 ) (Game Picker Oklahoma St by 10.87 )
PARTLY SUNNY, NORTHEAST WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 81, RH 64% HEAT INDEX 84
La Monroe vs GA Southern
(Vegas GA Southern -24.5 ) (Game Picker GA Southern by 23.92 )
MOSTLY CLOUDY, NORTH WIND 5-10. GAME TEMP 80, RH 74% HEAT INDEX 84
This mismatch GA Southern has in rush offense justifies taking GA Southern here not that the line has gotten closer.
Old Dominion vs NC State
(Vegas NC State -24.5 ) (Game Picker NC State by 15.79 )
MOSTLY CLOUDY, EAST WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 80, RH 64% HEAT INDEX 83
Troy vs Southern Miss
(Vegas Southern Miss -11 ) (Game Picker Troy by 1.70 )
PARTLY CLOUDY, SOUTH WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 82, RH 74% HEAT INDEX 88
South Alabama vs La Lafayette
(Vegas La Lafayette -3 ) (Game Picker South Alabama by 12.63 )
MOSTLY CLOUDY, 30% CHANCE SHOWER/STORMS. SOUTH WIND 2-7. GAME TEMP 84, RH 74% HEAT INDEX 92
Kansas vs Memphis
(Vegas Memphis -21 ) (Game Picker Memphis by 7.91 )
MOSTLY CLOUDY, SOUTH WIND 6-11. GAME TEMP 83, RH 64% HEAT INDEX 88
Michigan St vs Notre Dame
(Vegas Notre Dame -7 ) (Game Picker Notre Dame by 20.01 )
MOSTLY CLOUDY, 30% CHANCE SHOWER/STORMS EARLY. SOUTHWEST WIND 4-9. GAME TEMP 74, RH 81% HEAT INDEX 78
Texas AM vs Auburn
(Vegas Auburn -2.5 ) (Game Picker Auburn by 3.06 )
FAIR, EAST WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 88, RH 46% HEAT INDEX 91
Duke vs Northwestern
(Vegas Northwestern -6.5 ) (Game Picker Duke by 4.11 )
PARTLY CLOUDY, WEST WIND 4-9. GAME TEMP 72, RH 84% HEAT INDEX 76
Ohio St vs Oklahoma
(Vegas Ohio St -1 ) (Game Picker Ohio St by 11.67 )
MOSTLY CLOUDY, NORTH WIND 2-7. GAME TEMP 82, RH 58% HEAT INDEX 85
Alabama vs Mississippi
(Vegas Alabama -9.5 ) (Game Picker Alabama by 18.53 )
MOSTLY SUNNY, SOUTH WIND 5-10. GAME TEMP 89, RH 51% HEAT INDEX 94
Georgia vs Missouri
(Vegas Georgia -7 ) (Game Picker Missouri by 0.81 )
MOSTLY CLOUDY, 30% CHANCE SHOWER/STORMS. NORTHWEST WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 75, RH 84% HEAT INDEX 79
Mississippi St vs LSU
(Vegas LSU -14 ) (Game Picker LSU by 10.06 )
FAIR, SOUTHEAST WIND 2-7. GAME TEMP 82, RH 79% HEAT INDEX 89
Navy vs Tulane
(Vegas Navy -7 ) (Game Picker Navy by 3.38 )
PARTLY CLOUDY, SOUTH WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 83, RH 76% HEAT INDEX 91
Hawaii vs Arizona
(Vegas Arizona -24.5 ) (Game Picker Arizona by 20.05 )
FAIR, SOUTHWEST WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 88, RH 17% WIND CHILL 0
Southern Cal vs Stanford
(Vegas Stanford -9 ) (Game Picker Stanford by 6.25 )
FAIR, WEST WIND 9-14. GAME TEMP 80, RH 39% HEAT INDEX 80
Texas vs California
(Vegas Texas -7 ) (Game Picker Texas by 11.08 )
FAIR, NORTHWEST WIND 7-12. GAME TEMP 68, RH 63%
Buffalo vs Nevada
(Vegas Nevada -10.5 ) (Game Picker Nevada by 10.96 )
FAIR, WEST WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 78, RH 13%
Utah vs San Jose St
(Vegas Utah -12.5 ) (Game Picker Utah by 14.15 )
FAIR, WEST WIND 6-11. GAME TEMP 73, RH 49% HEAT INDEX 74
Idaho vs Washington St
(Vegas Washington St -27.5 ) (Game Picker Washington St by 22.15 )
MOSTLY CLOUDY, SOUTHWEST WIND 15-25. GAME TEMP 60, RH 53%
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