Included are 4 Premium Picks against the spread for Week 12 ( 1 Thursday Night Game, and 3 Weekend games). Also a pick against the spread for every game for Week 12 is included as well.
The team highlighted in green is the team predicted to cover the Vegas spread listed. The picks and Vegas spreads will generally be locked down Friday at 5PM to get a better gauge on the percentage correct each week. The game picker will be used in tandem with the intangibles to generate green picks each week. Weather will be added within a day or two of gameday for each game.
Premium Picks:
Thursday (November 17th) – Arkansas St vs Troy
(Vegas Troy -8) (Game Picker Troy by 11.36 )
Troy and Arkansas St come into this game on a roll. Troy has won seven games in a row and Arkansas St has won six in a row. Looking a little closer however, Arkansas St has played all but one of their conference games on the road. Troy also has played a tougher schedule so far and is better in every statistical category except pass defense. Troy will be able to move the ball through the air with the (33rd) best pass offense. Look for Troy to use the Thursday Night home field advantage to cover the spread in this one.
FAIR, SOUTHEAST WIND 0-5. GAME TEMP 61, RH 53%
Saturday (November 19th) – Miami FL vs NC State
(Vegas Miami FL -2.5 ) (Game Picker Miami FL by 8.69 )
After several close loses, Miami has righted the ship with two impressive wins over a difficult Pittsburgh team and then Virginia on the road. Miami has played a tougher schedule than NC State with the (21st) toughest SOS in the nation. The Hurricanes matchup well with NC State’s strengths and weaknesses. The strength of NC State’s defense is the rush defense (6th). However, Miami is a passing team and will have a mismatch with their (30th) ranked pass offense vs the (97th) ranked pass defense of NC State. Look for Miami to use their steady defense and passing game advantage to cover the spread in this one.
MOSTLY CLOUDY, NORTHWEST WIND 12-17, GUSTY. GAME TEMP 72, RH 33%
San Diego St vs Wyoming
(Vegas San Diego St -7.5) (Game Picker San Diego St by 10.04 )
San Diego has been one of the toughest teams defensively this year, with the (2nd) ranked rush defense and (37th) ranked pass defense. Meanwhile, San Diego has the (2nd) ranked rush offense in the country behind Donnel Pumphrey who has quietly become the 4th leading rush of all time in the college ranks. Wyoming (a run first team) will struggle to put points on the board in this one as San Diego St has been dominating in rush defense. Look for San Diego St to cover the spread in this one by controlling the game with a steady dose of running game and defense.
MOSTLY SUNNY, SOUTHEAST WIND 9-14. GAME TEMP 41, RH 43% WIND CHILL 34
New Mexico vs Colorado St
(Vegas Colorado St -6) (Game Picker Colorado St by 2.05 )
This is one of those crazy games that sticks out once in awhile when doing statistical research. New Mexico although considered the underdog in this game, matches up amazingly well against Colorado State’s strengths and weaknesses. New Mexico has the (1st) ranked rush offense in the country. Unfortunately for Colorado St, the Rams defensive strong point is pass defense (15th) with the rush defense only ranking (98th) nationally. On the offensive side of the ball, Colorado St is a run first team with the (44th) ranked rush offense. New Mexico defensively, however, is setup to stop the run with the (29th) best rush defense. Look for New Mexico to cover the spread in this one and maybe win the game outright.
FAIR, SOUTHWEST WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 41, RH 37% WIND CHILL 38
Solid Picks:
Tuesday (November 15th) – Kent St vs Bowling Green
(Vegas Kent St -2.5 ) (Game Picker Kent St by 7.29 )
MOSTLY CLOUDY, 20% CHANCE LIGHT SHOWERS. SOUTHWEST WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 50, RH 83%
Ohio Vs Central Michigan
(Vegas Ohio -1 ) (Game Picker C Michigan by 4.78 )
MOSTLY CLOUDY, SOUTHWEST WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 50, RH 80%
Wednesday (November 16th) – Ball St vs Toledo
(Vegas Toledo -21 ) (Game Picker Toledo by 18.62 )
FAIR, SOUTHWEST WIND 2-7. GAME TEMP 47, RH 71%
N Illinois Vs E Michigan
(Vegas N Illinois -2.5 ) (Game Picker N Illinois by 4.21 )
FAIR, SOUTHWEST WIND 2-7. GAME TEMP 48, RH 68%
Thursday (November 17th) – Louisville vs Houston
(Vegas Louisville -13.5 ) (Game Picker Louisville by 12.01 )
Louisville will be trying to make a statement here. Houston has not been playing near as well as they did earlier in the season.
MOSTLY CLOUDY, SOUTH WIND 4-9. GAME TEMP 74, RH 76% HEAT INDEX 77
Arkansas St vs Troy
(Vegas Troy -8) (Game Picker Troy by 11.36 )
FAIR, SOUTHEAST WIND 0-5. GAME TEMP 61, RH 53%
Friday (November 18th) – Memphis Vs Cincinnati
(Vegas Memphis -7 ) (Game Picker Memphis by 8.74 )
MOSTLY CLOUDY, 20% CHANCE LIGHT SHOWERS LATE. SOUTH WIND 11-16, GUSTY. GAME TEMP 64, RH 56%
UNLV vs Boise St
(Vegas Boise St -29 ) (Game Picker Boise St by 20.35 )
PARTLY CLOUDY, SOUTHEAST WIND 10-20, GUSTY. GAME TEMP 45, RH 34% WIND CHILL 38
Saturday (November 19th) – UConn vs Boston College
(Vegas Boston College -9) (Game Picker Boston College by 5.44 )
MOSTLY SUNNY, SOUTH WIND 9-14. GAME TEMP 55, RH 57%
La Monroe vs Appalachian St
(Vegas Appalachian St -26.5) (Game Picker Appalachian St by 22.29 )
MOSTLY SUNNY, NORTHWEST WIND 12-17, GUSTY. GAME TEMP 49, RH 47%
UTEP vs Rice
(Vegas PK ) (Game Picker Rice by 1.15 )
MOSTLY SUNNY, NORTH WIND 9-14. GAME TEMP 61, RH 34%
Miami FL vs NC State
(Vegas Miami FL -2.5 ) (Game Picker Miami FL by 8.69 )
MOSTLY CLOUDY, NORTHWEST WIND 12-17, GUSTY. GAME TEMP 72, RH 33%
Texas Tech vs Iowa St
(Vegas Texas Tech -3 ) (Game Picker Texas Tech by 2.52 )
MOSTLY SUNNY, NORTHWEST WIND 11-16. GAME TEMP 43, RH 36% WIND CHILL 36
Iowa vs Illinois
(Vegas Iowa -9.5) (Game Picker Iowa by 9.74 )
MOSTLY CLOUDY, NORTHWEST WIND 15-25, GUSTY. GAME TEMP 40, RH 55% WIND CHILL 30
Northwestern vs Minnesota
(Vegas PK ) (Game Picker Northwestern by 3.93 )
PARTLY CLOUDY, NORTHWEST WIND 9-14. GAME TEMP 36, RH 50% WIND CHILL 28
Wisconsin vs Purdue
(Vegas Wisconsin -28) (Game Picker Wisconsin by 25.13 )
MOSTLY CLOUDY, NORTHWEST WIND 20-30, GUSTY. GAME TEMP 40, RH 57% WIND CHILL 30
Duke vs Pittsburgh
(Vegas Pittsburgh -8) (Game Picker Pittsburgh by 5.27 )
MOSTLY CLOUDY, 60% CHANCE SHOWERS. WEST WIND 15-25, GUSTY. GAME TEMP 46, RH 65% WIND CHILL 38
Texas San Antonio vs Texas AM
(Vegas Texas AM -27.5) (Game Picker Texas AM by 23.07 )
SUNNY, NORTH WIND 8-13. GAME TEMP 60, RH 34%
Maryland vs Nebraska
(Vegas Nebraska -13) (Game Picker Nebraska by 13.59 )
MOSTLY SUNNY, SOUTH WIND 6-11. GAME TEMP 40, RH 39% WIND CHILL 34
Oklahoma vs West Virginia
(Vegas Oklahoma -2.5) (Game Picker Oklahoma by 3.59 )
CLOUDY, 60% CHANCE LIGHT SHOWERS. WEST WIND 10-20, GUSTY. GAME TEMP 39, RH 57% WIND CHILL 30
Middle Tenn St vs Charlotte
(Vegas Middle Tenn St -3.5) (Game Picker Middle Tenn St by 11.10 )
MOSTLY SUNNY, NORTHWEST WIND 12-22, GUSTY. GAME TEMP 64, RH 38%
UMass vs BYU
(Vegas BYU -30.5) (Game Picker BYU by 20.07 )
MOSTLY SUNNY, SOUTHEAST WIND 9-14. GAME TEMP 46, RH 38%
La Lafayette vs Georgia
(Vegas Georgia -23.5) (Game Picker Georgia by 17.70 )
MOSTLY SUNNY, NORTH WIND 12-22, GUSTY. GAME TEMP 64, RH 34%
San Diego St vs Wyoming
(Vegas San Diego St -7.5) (Game Picker San Diego St by 10.04 )
MOSTLY SUNNY, SOUTHEAST WIND 9-14. GAME TEMP 41, RH 43% WIND CHILL 34
New Mexico vs Colorado St
(Vegas Colorado St -6) (Game Picker Colorado St by 2.05 )
FAIR, SOUTHWEST WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 41, RH 37% WIND CHILL 38
Indiana vs Michigan
(Vegas Michigan -26 ) (Game Picker Michigan by 24.09 )
CLOUDY, 60% CHANCE LIGHT SHOWERS. WEST WIND 20-30, GUSTY. GAME TEMP 38, RH 67% WIND CHILL 27 (RAIN SHOWERS MAY MIX WITH SNOW.)
Virginia Tech vs Notre Dame
(Vegas Notre Dame -2 ) (Game Picker Virginia Tech by 0.44 )
MOSTLY CLOUDY, 40% CHANCE LIGHT SHOWERS. NORTHWEST WIND 15-25, GUSTY. GAME TEMP 39, RH 64% WIND CHILL 29 (RAIN SHOWERS MAY MIX WITH SNOW.)
Kansas St vs Baylor
(Vegas Kansas St -2.5) (Game Picker Baylor by 3.96 )
SUNNY, NORTHEAST WIND 7-12. GAME TEMP 57, RH 35%
Virginia vs Georgia Tech
(Vegas Georgia Tech -10.5) (Game Picker Georgia Tech by 10.09 )
MOSTLY SUNNY, NORTH WIND 10-20, GUSTY. GAME TEMP 60, RH 37%
Florida St vs Syracuse
(Vegas Florida St -21 ) (Game Picker Florida St by 17.59 )
Syracuse QB Dungy is out. Florida St gets Demarcus Walker back who is third in the nation in sacks against Syracuse’s 2nd string QB.
Dome
Mississippi vs Vanderbilt
(Vegas Mississippi -9.5) (Game Picker Mississippi by 9.37 )
Checkout Ole Miss’s new QB if you get a chance. He is spectacular.
MOSTLY SUNNY, NORTHWEST WIND 11-16. GAME TEMP 44, RH 43% WIND CHILL 37
Texas St vs New Mexico St
(Vegas New Mexico St -10 ) (Game Picker New Mexico St by 7.49 )
MOSTLY SUNNY, SOUTHEAST WIND 7-12. GAME TEMP 62, RH 21%
Arizona vs Oregon St
(Vegas Oregon St -7.5) (Game Picker Oregon St by 4.03 )
CLOUDY, 60% CHANCE SHOWERS. SOUTH WIND 10-20, GUSTY. GAME TEMP 50, RH 86%
Arizona St vs Washington
(Vegas Washington -27.5 ) (Game Picker Washington by 21.53 )
CLOUDY, 60% CHANCE SHOWERS. SOUTHEAST WIND 12-17, GUSTY. GAME TEMP 49, RH 80%
Washington St vs Colorado
(Vegas Colorado -6 ) (Game Picker Colorado by 2.29 )
MOSTLY SUNNY, SOUTHWEST WIND 4-9. GAME TEMP 50, RH 27%
Stanford vs California
(Vegas Stanford -10.5) (Game Picker Stanford by 9.54 )
MOSTLY CLOUDY, 60% CHANCE LIGHT SHOWERS. SOUTH WIND 6-11. GAME TEMP 59, RH 77%
Southern Miss vs North Texas
(Vegas Southern Miss -5.5 ) (Game Picker Southern Miss by 7.23 )
FAIR, SOUTHEAST WIND 2-7. GAME TEMP 54, RH 28%
Old Dominion vs Florida Atlantic
(Vegas Old Dominion -8 ) (Game Picker Old Dominion by 11.84 )
MOSTLY FAIR, NORTH WIND 7-12. GAME TEMP 76, RH 55% HEAT INDEX 78
Buffalo vs W Michigan
(Vegas W Michigan -35) (Game Picker W Michigan by 31.40 )
CLOUDY, 40% CHANCE LIGHT SHOWERS. WEST WIND 15-25, GUSTY. GAME TEMP 38, RH 67% WIND CHILL 28
Marshall vs Florida Intl
(Vegas Marshall -2.5) (Game Picker Marshall by 3.64 )
MOSTLY FAIR, NORTH WIND 7-12. GAME TEMP 77, RH 55% HEAT INDEX 79
Arkansas vs Mississippi St
(Vegas Arkansas -1 ) (Game Picker Mississippi St by 0.97 )
CLEAR, NORTH WIND 4-9. GAME TEMP 50, RH 42%
Hawaii vs Fresno St
(Vegas Hawaii -3.5) (Game Picker Hawaii by 1.34 )
PARTLY CLOUDY, SOUTH WIND 3-8. GAME TEMP 70, RH 33%
South Florida vs SMU
(Vegas South Florida -13.5) (Game Picker South Florida by 8.69 )
FAIR, SOUTHEAST WIND 2-7. GAME TEMP 54, RH 30%
Tulsa vs C Florida
(Vegas Tulsa -2.5) (Game Picker Tulsa by 1.00 )
FAIR, NORTH WIND 6-11. GAME TEMP 72, RH 57% HEAT INDEX 73
Temple vs Tulane
(Vegas Temple -15.5) (Game Picker Temple by 9.53 )
MOSTLY SUNNY, NORTHEAST WIND 10-15. GAME TEMP 64, RH 34%
Ohio St vs Michigan St
(Vegas Ohio St -22.5 ) (Game Picker Ohio St by 19.95 )
CLOUDY, 60% CHANCE LIGHT SHOWERS. WEST WIND 20-30, GUSTY. GAME TEMP 39, RH 67% WIND CHILL 28
Texas vs Kansas
(Vegas Texas -22 ) (Game Picker Texas by 22.05 )
MOSTLY SUNNY, SOUTH WIND 7-12. GAME TEMP 46, RH 37%
Clemson vs Wake Forest
(Vegas Clemson -24 ) (Game Picker Clemson by 18.95 )
MOSTLY FAIR, NORTHWEST WIND 12-22, GUSTY. GAME TEMP 55, RH 35%
Missouri vs Tennessee
(Vegas Tennessee -17 ) (Game Picker Tennessee by 10.69 )
PARTLY CLOUDY, NORTHWEST WIND 10-20, GUSTY. GAME TEMP 46, RH 51% WIND CHILL 39
GA Southern vs Georgia St
(Vegas GA Southern -2.5 ) (Game Picker GA Southern by 7.00 )
Dome
Southern Cal vs UCLA
(Vegas Southern Cal -14) (Game Picker Southern Cal by 2.42 )
FAIR, SOUTHWEST WIND 5-10. GAME TEMP 65, RH 54%
Oklahoma St vs TCU
(Vegas TCU -4 ) (Game Picker TCU by 4.18 )
SUNNY, NORTHEAST WIND 6-11. GAME TEMP 55, RH 32%
Penn St vs Rutgers
(Vegas Penn St -28) (Game Picker Penn St by 21.07 )
MOSTLY CLOUDY, 60% CHANCE SHOWERS EARLY. WEST WIND 12-17, GUSTY. GAME TEMP 50, RH 63%
Oregon vs Utah
(Vegas Utah -14.5 ) (Game Picker Utah by 11.12 )
PARTLY SUNNY, SOUTHEAST WIND 8-13. GAME TEMP 50, RH 33%
Air Force vs San Jose St
(Vegas Air Force -10 ) (Game Picker Air Force by 12.74 )
MOSTLY CLOUDY, 60% CHANCE LIGHT SHOWERS. SOUTH WIND 5-10. GAME TEMP 57, RH 77%
Utah St vs Nevada
(Vegas Utah St -4 ) (Game Picker Utah St by 5.78 )
MOSTLY CLOUDY, SOUTH WIND 11-16. GAME TEMP 54, RH 27%
Navy vs East Carolina
(Vegas Navy -9.5) (Game Picker Navy by 6.11 )
PARTLY CLOUDY, NORTHWEST WIND 12-22, GUSTY. GAME TEMP 64, RH 51%
Florida vs LSU
(Vegas LSU -14.5 ) (Game Picker LSU by 9.72 )
MOSTLY SUNNY, NORTHEAST WIND 8-13. GAME TEMP 60, RH 39%
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