Premium Picks 16-5 overall for the season! (76%)
2018 Week 5 has some great statistical mismatches identified by the Game Picker. Checkout the locks for Week 5.
Premium Picks are made public once the games are played.
Thursday (September 27th) – N Carolina Vs Miami FL Miami 47-10 Winner!
5-0 for Thursday/Friday Picks this year!
(Vegas Miami FL -17 ) (Game Picker Miami FL by 20.93 )
Miami has been rolling since it’s opening game sleepwalk against LSU. Miami’s defense has been strong and matches up well against N Carolina. Miami should be able to run the ball against the 92nd ranked rush defense of N Carolina. Miami has played a much more difficult schedule than N Carolina and has better statistical grades in every category. Regardless of the QB that the Hurricanes start, look for Miami to cover the spread in this one.
Saturday (September 29th) – Toledo Vs Fresno St Fresno St 49-27 Winner!
(Vegas Fresno St -7.5 ) (Game Picker Fresno St by 12.71 )
Fresno St is one of the better teams in the nation that no one knows about because of their game times. The Bulldog defense has been fierce ranking 30th in rush defense and 14th in pass defense. Fresno St had a bye week before this game and will be ready to roll. Fresno St will be able to move the ball thru the air against Toledo’s 98th ranked pass defense. Look for Fresno St’s veteran team to cover the spread in this one.
Saturday (September 29th) – Texas Vs Kansas St Texas 19-14 Loss
(Vegas Texas -7 ) (Game Picker Texas by 16.26 )
Vegas has over valued Kansas St all year (Kansas St -11 Against the Spread Average). Texas is starting to roll under Coach Herman waxing TCU and USC by two touchdowns in consecutive weeks. Kansas St got beat down by W Virginia 35-6 last week. So obviously teams going in opposite directions. Texas will have a huge mismatch with its 6th ranked rush offense against Kansas St’s 97th ranked rush defense. Look for Texas to cover the spread in this one.
Saturday (September 29th) – Boise St Vs Wyoming Boise St 34-14 Winner!
(Vegas Boise St -15.5 ) (Game Picker Boise St by 23.85 )
This is 13th ranked Boise St versus the 107th ranked Wyoming Cowboys. Boise St will have a major mismatch with its 6th ranked pass offense led by senior QB Brett Rypien going against the 106th ranked pass defense of Wyoming. Boise St will be able to keep Wyoming’s rush first offense in check with its better than average rush defense. Boise St has been undervalued by Vegas so far with a +8 Against the Spread Average. Look for Boise St to cover the spread in this one.
Let’s keep the hot streak going! Lots of folks are letting me know how they are beating up on their bookies. Love to hear that!
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